Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.603832 0.669698 0.740938 0.823910 0.918132 1.022078 1.145811
2025-08-31 0.494114 0.583485 0.687639 0.818800 0.980700 1.175470 1.429736
2025-09-07 0.435157 0.535658 0.658777 0.822319 1.036286 1.310102 1.692545
2025-09-14 0.386541 0.491346 0.624831 0.809789 1.063358 1.404657 1.908958
2025-09-21 0.350380 0.457595 0.598726 0.801489 1.090999 1.498407 2.131540
2025-09-28 0.313205 0.418193 0.560185 0.770413 1.080998 1.534910 2.271672
2025-10-05 0.297200 0.405793 0.556758 0.787269 1.140069 1.676518 2.588436
2025-10-12 0.282194 0.393160 0.551319 0.799728 1.192548 1.812394 2.913273
2025-10-19 0.267132 0.378994 0.542064 0.804857 1.233095 1.932493 3.226967
2025-10-26 0.253586 0.365866 0.533008 0.808922 1.271468 2.052091 3.555560
2025-11-02 0.242500 0.355514 0.527149 0.817125 1.316813 2.187690 3.932567
2025-11-09 0.226508 0.336440 0.506158 0.798433 1.313748 2.236422 4.148070
2025-11-16 0.217775 0.328364 0.502354 0.808708 1.363484 2.388891 4.599892
2025-11-23 0.206624 0.315701 0.490207 0.803600 1.384895 2.490660 4.963633
2025-11-30 0.198127 0.306732 0.483406 0.807046 1.422077 2.626826 5.424585
2025-12-07 0.187514 0.293584 0.468623 0.794790 1.427798 2.699952 5.754241
2025-12-14 0.178492 0.282548 0.456683 0.786673 1.440576 2.788772 6.136089
2025-12-21 0.166492 0.265792 0.433771 0.756274 1.405799 2.772107 6.255699
2025-12-28 0.162860 0.263174 0.435537 0.772763 1.468196 2.974792 6.970325
2026-01-04 0.158777 0.259513 0.435146 0.784950 1.522704 3.166693 7.696099
2026-01-11 0.153902 0.254163 0.431317 0.789967 1.562228 3.328869 8.374100
2026-01-18 0.149186 0.248830 0.427164 0.793943 1.599762 3.491081 9.087425
2026-01-25 0.145289 0.244760 0.425096 0.801965 1.647109 3.683666 9.935747